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       COMMENT PAGE FOR:
  HTML   Reflections on Palantir
       
       
        fijiaarone wrote 10 min ago:
        Now that the surveillance state has won, people want to be on the
        winning side.
       
        botanical wrote 35 min ago:
        There is no grey area working for a company like Palantir. Palantir is
        as IBM was during the Holocaust.
        
        Apartheid Israel has used the American military industrial complex and
        companies like Palantir to kill a majority of civilians in Apartheid
        Israel's genocide in Gaza. 65% killed have been women and children; 50
        children a day killed since Oct 7th. 2% of the population have been
        culled. And all this to stay and make money in a lucrative market.
        
        If you listen to Peter Thiel, he uses the same propaganda talking
        points that Apartheid Israel uses. There is zero morality supporting or
        working for companies like Palantir or people like Peter Thiel.
       
          forgotoldacc wrote 30 min ago:
          There was an interview somewhat recently where someone asked his
          connection to Israel's military, and he squirmed and rapidly
          stuttered in sheer terror for about 15 seconds before he finally put
          together a sentence where he said something like "I'm not allowed to
          criticize Israel." It was weird seeing one of the richest men on
          earth suddenly have absolute fear in his eyes and talking like he had
          a gun to his back.
          
          Twitter has since had the videos wiped, but I'm sure they're still
          out there somewhere. I've seen other people like Zuckerberg dodge
          questions, but I've never seen a man with such wealth and power
          suddenly become so completely terrified.
       
        aidenn0 wrote 1 hour 31 min ago:
        > Every time you see the government give another $110 million contract
        to Deloitte for building a website that doesn’t work, or a
        healthcare.gov style debacle, or SFUSD spending $40 million to
        implement a payroll system that - again - doesn’t work, you are
        seeing politics beat substance.
        
        Dismissing it as politics beating substance is not useful, since there
        is so little substance present.  Figuring out which of the bidders is
        incompetent is non-trivial when what they do is far from your
        expertise, and if it's close to your expertise, you wouldn't be hiring
        outsiders to do it.  I have heard similar things coming from DOTs
        where, when the infrastructure is something that hasn't been done this
        generation, they get bent over a barrel by the contractors.
        
        TL; DR: when people who can't write software hire other people to write
        software for them, what non-political signal do they have to separate
        the sheep from the goats?
       
          fnikacevic wrote 59 min ago:
          Hire internal software folks who can judge the signals better?
       
        whaaaaat wrote 1 hour 54 min ago:
        > During the 2016-2020 era especially, telling people you worked at
        Palantir was unpopular. The company was seen as spy tech, NSA
        surveillance, or worse.
        
        I mean, it is those things. I think just because it's listed on a
        market doesn't change those things. People are just like, "I value the
        money it makes me more than the ethical qualms I have about what
        Palantir is".
       
        ks2048 wrote 2 hours 50 min ago:
        The age old tale of “libertarians” getting filthy rich on taxpayer
        dollars.
       
          EFreethought wrote 53 min ago:
          This is even better than that: "Libertarians" getting rich on
          government contracts to run surveillance for governments.
       
          jongjong wrote 2 hours 35 min ago:
          That's the story of the entire big tech sector and they can't deny
          it.
          
          If tech leaders actually believed that they were adding value and
          receiving fair proceeds, they wouldn't spend so much energy trying to
          control the media. They wouldn't be increasingly distrusted. Society
          wouldn't be so divided. They wouldn't need a monetary system based on
          unlimited money creation.
          
          It's interesting that morality is often mentioned when discussing
          such companies. It must be a significant challenge for them to find
          people who are both intelligent enough and immoral (or amoral) enough
          to do the kind of work which still yields profits in a system such as
          ours. They now have to signal their moral status far and wide to
          every corner of the globe attract the 'right' candidates.
       
        trenchgun wrote 4 hours 29 min ago:
        This wad also a great read on Palantir, from 2020:
        
  HTML  [1]: https://logicmag.io/commons/enter-the-dragnet/
       
        asdasdsddd wrote 4 hours 33 min ago:
        I worked there in the weird era. A couple things.
        
        1. As per usual, the things that make palantir well known not even
        close to being the most dubious things.
        
        2. I agree that the rank and file of palantir is no different from
        typical sv talent.
        
        3. The services -> product transition was cool, I didn't weigh it as
        much as should've, but I did purchase fomo insurance after they ipo'd
        
        4. The shadow hierarchy was so bad, it's impossible to figure out who
        you actually needed to talk to.
       
          worstspotgain wrote 1 hour 59 min ago:
          Let's hypothesize that a would-be administration in a Western country
          would like to accomplish full Russian-style autocracy relatively
          quickly. Let's say they have stated publicly that their plan is to go
          after immigrants first, opposition leaders second. Numerically, these
          are two small categories, relatively speaking.
          
          The first question is, what about the third and fourth categories?
          Would they be dissenters in general, or specific kinds (judged to be
          riskier for the autocratization process) and which?
          
          The second question is, how would they go about identifying them? Are
          there products and services at Palantir that may have been designed
          for this goal?
       
          avmich wrote 4 hours 9 min ago:
          It would also be interesting to hear thoughts on the company of
          somebody like Cory Doctorow.
          
          Edit: aha, found. [1] "Palantir is one of the most sinister companies
          on the global stage, a company whose pitch is to sell humans rights
          abuses as a service. The customers for this turnkey service include
          America’s most corrupt police departments, who use Palantir’s
          products to monitor protest movements.
          
          Palantir’s clients also include the Immigration and Customs
          Enforcement, a federal agency who rely on Palantir’s products for
          their ethnic cleansing..."
          
  HTML    [1]: https://doctorow.medium.com/how-palantir-will-steal-the-nhs-...
       
            serguzest wrote 25 min ago:
            I think things are getting worse, JD Vance is Peter Thiel's
            high-rank implant to possible upcoming Trump administration.
            
            Will evil techno-cons replace neocons?
       
            asdasdsddd wrote 40 min ago:
            as I said, ICE is not even close to the spiciest thing it worked on
       
            saturn8601 wrote 1 hour 23 min ago:
            Man his speaking and writing style get so annoying after a while
            and I speak as someone who has seen him talk at DEFCON and HOPE
            multiple times. He has got this god like reputation among the
            hacker community. Might there be someone who isn't as attention
            seeking and who isn't just trying to make catchy speeches talking
            about the same ideas?
       
            lmz wrote 3 hours 5 min ago:
            I wonder why Americans are so against cracking down on illegal
            immigration. Is it all that repressed guilt from invading Indian
            lands or something?
       
              mc32 wrote 1 hour 49 min ago:
              Not really, Bill Clinton was famously against it and so was
              Bernie Sanders, and, arguably so was Obama. It’s the
              progressives who took over the vanguard of the Dem party that
              espouse the position of open/porous borders. Not even a majority
              of regular democrats want illegal aliens coming in unfiltered.
              
              Of course some would like to forget that prior to the
              progressives taking over policy, Bill, Bernie and Barrack were
              all against illegal immigration.  We have the interviews, the
              statements, speeches, etc.
       
                Octoth0rpe wrote 26 min ago:
                >  It’s the progressives who took over the vanguard of the
                Dem party that espouse the position of open borders
                
                There are no federally elected democrats who espouse the
                position of open borders. None. Zero. Every single member of
                the democratic party in office today in federal office supports
                some degree of border control, and frankly the degree that they
                want is not worlds apart from what most republicans want.
                
                The GOP has successfully planted the idea that they are for a
                wall that lets no one through and the dems will let everyone
                in, but it's much more like two sides bickering over whether
                the wall should be 10m or 15m tall, whether or not there should
                be razors at the top, and exactly how many palantir/anduril
                terminators should be purchased for intercepting people, 1000
                or 1200.
       
              avmich wrote 2 hours 7 min ago:
               [1] The immigration has always existed, laws of it shifted, and
              AFAIK the current level of illegal immigration is not that high.
              So it's not really a large economical or humanitarian problem,
              and looks like it's much bigger political one.
              
  HTML        [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_Colossus
       
              IgorPartola wrote 2 hours 35 min ago:
              Basically because everyone here is an immigrant of some sort just
              maybe not first generation. Also because the vast majority of
              people who show up at the Mexican border are fleeing horrific
              violence and when you are fleeing horrific violence it is
              difficult to always do things by the book. And also it is a
              reaction to just how poorly these people that otherwise would be
              classified as refugees get treated. Under Trump in particular
              family separation became the norm and courts who oversaw
              immigration cases had kids as young as 4 brought before a judge
              without family or legal representation.
       
                mc32 wrote 1 hour 47 min ago:
                The majority are in no way fleeing “horrific violence.”
                That’s made up. The great majority come for jobs.  Lots of
                job figures by the Fed are inflated by jobs going to illegals. 
                They’re not coming from violent war zones —but even in war
                zones people go on living their lives, though interrupted by
                war. By and large it’s not the janjaweed or isil as Obama
                calls the other baddies.
       
                  MrLeap wrote 45 min ago:
                  A week ago Alejandro Arcos was decapitated right after he
                  took office as mayor of the city of Chilpancingo, a city of
                  around 280,000 people.
                  
                  Some approximate stats:
                  
                  Mexico has 45,000~ murders a year. The United States has
                  about 25k a year.
                  
                  The population of Mexico is 130m. The population of the US is
                  350m.
                  
                  One can't derive the distribution of motivations that bring
                  immigrants from these statistics. That said, I'd call that an
                  alarming about of horrific violence. It's safe to say it's
                  not evenly distributed over the whole of Mexico. It's easy to
                  imagine being motivated to move by those statistics/events.
                  
                  Like everything, it's probably a spectrum of motivations.
                  More opportunities, better schools, fewer decapitations?
       
                    mc32 wrote 39 min ago:
                    People get murdered in the US too.  We had a presidential
                    candidate who had two attempts on his life this election
                    cycle. Dems glaze over that.
                    
                    Should kids in Chicago get a pass to move to buenos Aires
                    because Chicago is so violent?    That’s our problem to
                    solve.    Mexicans have their own problems to solve.  Of
                    course electing a socialist probably won’t help.  They
                    need their own Milei.
                    
                    Early in our history we had a violent Wild West.  We fixed
                    it ourselves.  They can fix their own things too. 
                    They’re not incapable.
       
                  worstspotgain wrote 1 hour 24 min ago:
                  They're fleeing Putin's strategically-created crises in
                  Syria, Venezuela and elsewhere. He gives you the flu, blames
                  the aspirin, and sells you the Ivermectin.
       
                    mc32 wrote 1 hour 20 min ago:
                    Maduro shat the bed himself with perhaps the aid of his
                    indoctrinated chavistas.  They used to get help from Cuba.
                    In any case, it’s their problem.  Even Columbia, their
                    neighbors and co-Bolivarians don’t like them going into
                    their country illegally.  They also want them out.
                    
                    Man up and do what we did. Armed resistance and overthrow
                    the repressive government and create a new beautiful
                    shining beacon in the southern cone.
                    
                    An implication of your statement is that Putin does this to
                    undermine the US thus bolstering the position that these
                    people weaken rather than strengthen us.
       
                      worstspotgain wrote 1 hour 19 min ago:
                      Maduro is a 100% Russian product and service.
       
                        mc32 wrote 1 hour 16 min ago:
                        Then kick him out of office.  Do a Panama and turn it
                        around.
       
                  chipotle_coyote wrote 1 hour 40 min ago:
                  [citation needed]
       
              carom wrote 2 hours 44 min ago:
              It is because corporations benefit from exploitable labor and
              competition among workers. For this reason they promote a
              narrative that opposing illegal immigration is racist. The
              counter narrative would be that preventing it gives power to
              American workers (of all races) but no one seems to discuss that.
       
        bongodongobob wrote 5 hours 4 min ago:
        Palantir was working on my companies data for months getting ready to
        show us what AI could do for us. Internally I was asking "what could
        they possibly show us that we don't already know, even theoretically?"
        No one really had any idea either, but we were skeptically optimistic.
        Palantir said just wait, this AI shit is amazing and we'll have so many
        new insights for you.
        
        The day finally came and the execs were all in the office for the big
        presentation. I wasn't there, but from what I heard, it was basically a
        handful of unfinished, incomplete Power BI type reports outlining
        information that we already had/knew. They were literally laughed out
        of the room and the meeting was cut short. It was a huge waste of time.
        I wish I could have been there, from what I heard it was hilarious.
       
          ninetyninenine wrote 4 hours 38 min ago:
          I agree, the business use case was zero. Was it impressive though?
          
          In the sense that Palantir found out information that you guys
          already knew... but how much time did it take? How much man power and
          how much money? What is that compared to the resources your company
          spent to build that internal knowledge?
          
          Also what company was it if you feel comfortable revealing?
       
        Cloud98 wrote 5 hours 9 min ago:
        This was a refreshing read! I like to think Software is eating the
        world, but it's unable to digest the data and use it effectively.
        Perhaps the shift from services to a product business adds a layer of
        RWE (real-world evidence) to solving hard engineering problems.
       
        xrd wrote 5 hours 22 min ago:
        As someone who has always dismissed Palantir, I really loved this. It's
        very powerful and makes me reconsider what I felt about them.
        
        But, I'm really stuck on the point about Trump being a capable meme
        generator. I mean, this feels like someone saying that a monkey
        produces lots of BS. It is close to technically accurate, monkeys do
        produce feces, and the cosine distance between that and true bullshit
        is small. But, it misses the larger vibe-stench.
       
          bdjsiqoocwk wrote 3 hours 34 min ago:
          > It's very powerful
          
          If you bought that garbage I have some ice to sell you.
       
        ak_111 wrote 5 hours 30 min ago:
        Note that Palantir's moral stature isn't as grey or debatable as made
        in the article, it is basically clearly complicit in the genocide in
        Gaza.
        
        In other words, if you read the article I would add one more bucket to
        the three categories the author provided to classify palantir's work -
        genocide assistance.
        
        from [1] """
        Not only did it provide information to the US military during the
        invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, but over the past 10 months in
        particular, Palantir has provided AI-powered military and surveillance
        technology support to the Israelis in its war on Gaza.
        
        It has, in the words of Palantir's co-founder Alex Karp, been involved
        in "crucial operations in Israel".
        
        Palantir says it offers defence technologies that are “mission-tested
        capabilities, forged in the field” to deliver “a tactical edge - by
        land, air, sea and space”.
        
        These capabilities include supplying Israel’s military and
        intelligence agencies with the data to fire missiles at specific
        targets in Gaza - be it inside homes or in moving vehicles.
        """
        
  HTML  [1]: https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/us-jd-vance-peter-thiel-fou...
       
          slibhb wrote 3 hours 46 min ago:
          > Note that Palantir's moral stature isn't as grey or debatable as
          made in the article, it is basically clearly complicit in the
          genocide in Gaza.
          
          That there's a genocide in Gaza is objectively debatable. In the
          sense that people debate it.
       
          kevinventullo wrote 4 hours 16 min ago:
          Them and every American taxpayer
       
          samatman wrote 4 hours 25 min ago:
          That was covered in the article, a quote:
          
          > I can’t speak to specific details here, but Palantir software is
          partly responsible for stopping multiple terror attacks. I believe
          this fact alone vindicates this stance.
          
          Defeating Hamas is a moral imperative. I am sure the engineers at
          Palantir sleep well at night knowing they are helping achieve that
          goal, and I commend them for it.
       
            bdjsiqoocwk wrote 4 hours 11 min ago:
            > Defeating Hamas is a moral imperative.
            
            In that case what do you call the Netanyahu governament strategy of
            propping up Hamas?
            
  HTML      [1]: https://www.timesofisrael.com/for-years-netanyahu-propped-...
       
              slibhb wrote 3 hours 44 min ago:
              A mistake? The Israelis didn't understand the extent to which
              Hamas views itself as engaged in a holy war. They (and many
              others, including me) thought that Hamas would prioritize
              building Gaza and providing services to its people over
              murder/kidnapping raids.
       
          mulcahey wrote 4 hours 41 min ago:
          The war in Gaza is a moral gray area
       
            pphysch wrote 4 hours 22 min ago:
            To what extent is repeated mass-murder of civilians, total
            destruction of healthcare and education systems, etc. part of the
            "moral gray area"? That's just not a serious argument.
            
            You can be pro-Israel without pretending to hold humanist values
            and so on.
       
              dralley wrote 3 hours 5 min ago:
              If you have a military enemy that blatantly hides itself within
              civilian areas and builds its underground infrastructure
              underneath civilian infrastructure, and that military enemy kills
              1200 of your citizens in an attack, that creates a fair bit of
              moral ambiguity.
       
                pazimzadeh wrote 1 hour 46 min ago:
                You would start by not sending them money. Unless of course you
                needed a justification for your political/expansionist goals.
                [1] [2] Anyway, the idea of embedding military targets within
                civilian populations is also not exclusive to one side: [3]
                Neither is the use of terror: [4] [5] [6]
                
  HTML          [1]: https://archive.ph/2023.10.14-033824/https://www.haare...
  HTML          [2]: https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/hamas-israels-own-crea...
  HTML          [3]: https://www.haaretz.com/2012-06-09/ty-article/.premium...
  HTML          [4]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/King_David_Hotel_bombing
  HTML          [5]: https://web.archive.org/web/20121226235336/http://www....
  HTML          [6]: https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2019/02/no-jus...
  HTML          [7]: https://www.thetorah.com/article/israels-incomplete-co...
       
                ks2048 wrote 2 hours 55 min ago:
                Imagine the reaction to Palestinians blowing up a residential
                Israeli apartment building with hundreds of civilians inside
                and justifying it by saying they wanted to kill an IDF member
                inside.
       
        huqedato wrote 5 hours 31 min ago:
        I read the article. It sounds like a Laudatio to amorality for a S&P500
        behemoth whose goal is to enable other companies to purge human from
        their workflow, pardon... to digitalize the business. I'll give it a
        pass.
       
        kayo_20211030 wrote 6 hours 28 min ago:
        I loved the comment about Airbus
        
        > “Asana, but for building planes”.
        
        Would you use Asana for even building a project plan?
       
          workflowing wrote 6 hours 24 min ago:
          Smartsheet.
       
        wg0 wrote 7 hours 20 min ago:
        TLDR - Basically deployed developers in the field who scoured various
        archaic data sources into mostly read only dashboards in a hacky way
        and the other half kept generalizing it into a product.
        
        Now they have a platform that's hard to replace because the businesses
        that rely on them are extremely slow to adapt themselves that's the
        very reason Plantir was able to get into the space.
       
          csomar wrote 10 min ago:
          Essentially their competitive advantage is having access to these
          companies. You can't just show up at Airbus and propose to build them
          a system for their data flows. Palantir does that and charges
          multiples of the market rate.
       
          maeil wrote 2 hours 44 min ago:
          It's funny to read this. The reality is the opposite - Palantir
          pushes the custoner all day to go with actual operational usecases
          (i.e. CRUD, not R) and oftentimes some highlevel exec says no, I just
          want my reports.
          
          Most companies like the mentioned Airbus though do nowadays get
          convinced to do more impactful things, and they do reap the rewards.
          
          It doesn't help that the product has evolved ridiculously over the
          years. Just in these comments there's people who e.g. worked there in
          2016. Productwise they might have well have been at an entirely
          different company, unless they were on the gov side of things.
       
          nickff wrote 7 hours 13 min ago:
          Seems like an application of "do things that don't scale".
          
  HTML    [1]: https://paulgraham.com/ds.html
       
        km144 wrote 8 hours 0 min ago:
        > The combo of intellectual grandiosity and intense competitiveness was
        a perfect fit for me. It’s still hard to find today, in fact - many
        people have copied the ‘hardcore’ working culture and the ‘this
        is the Marines’ vibe, but few have the intellectual atmosphere, the
        sense of being involved in a rich set of ideas. This is hard to LARP -
        your founders and early employees have to be genuinely interesting
        intellectual thinkers.
        
        This mythical idea that certain successful tech founders are successful
        because they are highly contemplative intellectuals is so exhausting to
        me. The amount of self-aggrandizement engaged in by people who merely
        _interacted_ with these founders is also insane. I can no longer take
        seriously the "I make software and then sit and think about ancient
        political philosophy" trope.
       
          gen220 wrote 4 hours 19 min ago:
          When you onboard at meta (circa 2020) the execs like to make vague
          references to this rare out of print book on media studies that they
          say presaged everything and explains a lot about how they think about
          their role in the media ecosystem. They liked to lift quotes from it
          to justify certain decisions or whatever. They encouraged you to buy
          the book “if you could find a copy”.
          
          I like reading old books and philosophy so I found a copy. It was
          basically completely unfollow-able, and at best tangentially related
          to anything they were doing.
          
          I think having some biblical text to appeal to, in order to justify
          what is otherwise completely self-dealing, self-serving behavior is
          some foundational principle of the VP lizard school in Silicon
          Valley.
          
          It’s a sleight of hand. People will come up with brilliant
          illusions to distract you from the convenient hand that’s wrist
          deep into your coin purse.
          
          Not to say there aren’t interesting or valuable intellectual ideas
          in these books — in Girard, or what have you. But ultimately you
          have to judge people objectively on the sort of behaviors they
          exhibit, not on the “illusions” of the intellectual or
          philosophical explanations they give for those behaviors.
       
          mmooss wrote 5 hours 33 min ago:
          > The amount of self-aggrandizement engaged in by people who merely
          _interacted_ with these founders is also insane.
          
          It's the same thing as self-aggrandizement by interacting with (texts
          of) ancient philosophers.
          
          Somehow the lessons learned always come out as, 'more power and money
          for me'. Ancient philosophers, and many since, certainly had much to
          say about that.
       
          bschne wrote 6 hours 39 min ago:
          I'm not sure most people would claim their success comes down to the
          intellectual stuff. It's just that a certain type of nerd who is also
          very competent at what they do likes hanging out around other nerds
          of a similar type. If you read the descriptions of the actual work,
          at least among the FDEs, it seems striking how much it sounds like a
          relatively normal consulting engagement — we're not really talking
          developing foundational new algorithms or infrastructure here. But
          the kind of person who enjoys working at and does well in places like
          Palantir probably wouldn't enjoy Accenture. I agree it can veer
          pretentious, but I think it's more about clustering a certain kind of
          person together, similar to what you hear about e.g. places like Jane
          Street.
       
          ants_everywhere wrote 7 hours 23 min ago:
          In tech, founders tend to pick philosophers based on the ones that
          flatter their politics. That suggests they aren't actually engaging
          with the ideas so much as trying to appear smart for having the
          opinions they already had.
       
          mydriasis wrote 7 hours 42 min ago:
          Nothing worse than sniffing each-other's farts when we're already
          working hard. Eek. I'd prefer levity any day.
       
        thimkerbell wrote 8 hours 3 min ago:
        I very much liked this essay, and the HN comments are clarifying too. 
        Recommended.
       
          aduffy wrote 6 hours 26 min ago:
          This is the most Tyler Cowen-coded response I could imagine, and I
          mean this in the best way possible.
       
            sien wrote 5 hours 23 min ago:
            But what is the Straussian interpretation of your comment?
       
              aduffy wrote 2 hours 16 min ago:
              Those new service sector jobs: get paid to respond to HN comments
       
                sien wrote 1 hour 10 min ago:
                Markets in everything.
       
        renegade-otter wrote 8 hours 35 min ago:
        Palantir is neck-deep in Ukraine: [1] From what I understand, their
        software is also responsible for deep-strike drone path planning,
        avoiding air defenses through Russian terrain.
        
  HTML  [1]: https://time.com/6293398/palantir-future-of-warfare-ukraine/
       
          bdjsiqoocwk wrote 4 hours 1 min ago:
          I'd be curious to understand what speciality they have that they can
          do drone path planning better...?
       
        master_crab wrote 9 hours 22 min ago:
        For all you backend engineers: It’s basically Grafana with a bunch of
        support engineers in the backend cleaning up the data source (like a
        splunk index) that feeds it.
        
        Palantir does UI and visualization well but needs an inordinate amount
        of field support engineers to groom the dirty disparate data that
        governments do a poor job cleaning (either due to incompetence, field
        conditions, or both).
        
        The amount of manual labor doesn’t justify its market price, but
        because governments rarely change their vendors, there is significant
        lock in that probably supports some amount of their market cap.
       
          itsoktocry wrote 7 hours 35 min ago:
          >inordinate amount of field support engineers to groom the dirty
          disparate data that governments do a poor job cleaning
          
          Getting clean data seems like a universal need, but the job is still
          difficult, under-appreciated and underpaid.  How come?
       
          kidros wrote 7 hours 40 min ago:
          This is such a hilarious oversimplification.
       
          Taikonerd wrote 9 hours 5 min ago:
          But they have 80% margin, according to the article... so those
          engineers are generating a lot of revenue per capita.
       
            JumpCrisscross wrote 8 hours 56 min ago:
            > they have 80% margin, according to the article
            
            I have a pet theory about private equity: they're in the business
            of laundering boring jobs for college graduates. Few kids dream of
            graduating college to work at a chemicals plant in Baton Rouge. But
            working for Accenture in New York or Atlanta, now that's sexy. Even
            if you spend your entire work week *checks notes* working at a
            chemicals plant in Baton Rouge. (Investment banking is similar,
            though the transaction orientation makes the division of labour a
            little more sensible.)
            
            Palantir pays less for its consultants (sorry, FDEs) than Bain et
            al. Few in their generation dreamed of graduating college to work
            at a soulless corporate consultancy. But a tech company, now that's
            sexy.
            
            More pointedly: It's remarkable how an ostensibly 80% GM business
            only barely became profitable last year. Palantir's Q2 '24 cash
            flows from operations at 40% of revenues looks closer to the mark
            [1]. (Palantir's cost of revenue "primarily includes salaries,
            stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for personnel
            involved in performing [operations & maintenance] and professional
            services, as well as field service representatives, third-party
            cloud hosting services, travel costs, allocated overhead, and other
            direct costs" [2].) [1] 
            
            [2]
            
  HTML      [1]: https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0001321655...
  HTML      [2]: https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0001321655...
       
              gen220 wrote 4 hours 6 min ago:
              I like the pet theory!
              
              just quibbling on profitability. it's not ostensibly 80%, it's
              80%. gross margin != "net profit" != cash flow positive, thanks
              to GAAP.
              
              Compare the margins (gross, operating, net) here [0]. Observe the
              historical changes in cash on hand (i.e. cash flow) here [1].
              
              They have been accruing cash-on-hand on a YoY basis since 2021Q4.
              
              80% gross margins on 2.5B TTM revenue is really impressive.
              
              For comparisons, Cloudflare sits around 77% (on 1.5B TTM
              Revenue), Salesforce around 75% (36.5B TTM revenue), Datadog
              around 80% (2.4B TTM revenue).
              
              It does remain to be seen on whether they can translate that into
              meaningful operating margin over time. But they're well on their
              way [1] [0]: [1]:
              
  HTML        [1]: https://macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PLTR/palantir-tech...
  HTML        [2]: https://macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PLTR/palantir-tech...
       
              g_sch wrote 4 hours 49 min ago:
              Matt Levine had a funny similar take recently:
              
              "You could have a model of Harvard Business School that is like:
              
                  1. Harvard Business School teaches you skills that would make
              you good at running a company.
                  2. There are lots of companies that could use those skills.
                  3. But you don’t want to run those companies, because they
              make, like, ball bearings.
                  4. You want to run a fancy company; you want to run a hedge
              fund or a tech startup or something.
                  5. Meanwhile, the people currently running the ball bearings
              company would not be all that excited about you, a fresh-faced
              business school graduate who has never run anything, coming in to
              run their company, even if you did learn a lot of useful skills
              at Harvard.
                  6. Therefore various industries exist whose principal
              business is laundering ball bearings companies into opportunities
              that appeal to Harvard Business School graduates. You wrap the
              ball bearings company in a name like “private equity” and
              suddenly it is legible to the Harvard students, so they flock to
              it.
                  7. Those industries are also in the business of getting the
              ball bearings companies to accept the Harvard Business School
              graduates, which in practice means not so much “make the ball
              bearings company excited about its new Harvard CEO” but rather
              “buy the ball bearings company and install new management.”
              
              Source:
              
  HTML        [1]: https://archive.is/8IUCA#selection-1795.0-1869.303
       
              m463 wrote 4 hours 54 min ago:
              I think the other side of the chemical plant job is that the
              salary is higher than a college grad would get from the plant
              itself out of college.
              
              Nobody at the chemical would ever pay a college grad VP^h^h
              consultant salary to work there.
              
              (I did stuff like this out of college - got paid hourly ~ 3x 
              normal employee salary at non-sexy location)
       
              wg0 wrote 7 hours 30 min ago:
              Hilarious if true. Still hilarious if not.
       
              OisinMoran wrote 8 hours 22 min ago:
              I like this theory! And I don't think it's a cynical one
              either—this "laundering" could actually be really useful.
              
              The worker gets the status and security of a tech/consulting job,
              while having more variety than actually working at the chemical
              plant, not being at the whims of their org chart, and also just
              the reframing probably makes it more enjoyable anyway. All the
              while, the important work is getting done.
       
                JumpCrisscross wrote 8 hours 12 min ago:
                I don't think it's cynical at all! I do think it's a
                decision-delaying choice, however, in that it treats one's work
                as a series of electives. The person working at the plant,
                gaining seniority and building deep connections is on their way
                to industry expertise. It's trading wealth and power for
                prestige. (It makes sense it's like catnip to our graduates
                from elite schools.)
       
          okino wrote 9 hours 12 min ago:
          Leaving this here for people interested in what the software actually
          is.
          
  HTML    [1]: https://www.palantir.com/docs/
       
          JumpCrisscross wrote 9 hours 15 min ago:
          > needs an inordinate amount of field support engineers
          
          Hey now, they're forward-deployed engineers. Nothing like Oracle or
          SAP consultants.
       
            throwup238 wrote 9 hours 0 min ago:
            Do they dig latrines too?
            
            “Forward deployed” sounds like they’re in a FOB out in the
            sticks somewhere.
       
            master_crab wrote 9 hours 10 min ago:
            Touché
       
          nxobject wrote 9 hours 21 min ago:
          I imagine back in the LBJ and Nixon days IBM would've been doing
          similar classified work.
       
        hiAndrewQuinn wrote 9 hours 23 min ago:
        Huh. I finally have a name for what my own job really is.
        
        I should probably look into this Palantir operation.
       
        Finnucane wrote 9 hours 34 min ago:
        "I remember my first time I talked to Stephen Cohen he had the A/C in
        his office set at 60, several weird-looking devices for minimizing CO2
        content in the room, and had a giant pile of ice in a cup. Throughout
        the conversation, he kept chewing pieces of ice. "
        
        " Mandrake, have you never wondered why I drink only distilled water or
        rainwater? And only pure grain alcohol?"
       
        fnwbr wrote 9 hours 57 min ago:
        > you can work on things like Google search or the Facebook news feed,
        all of which seem like marginally good things
        
        lol, where has the author been in the past decade? both of those are
        bad, especially the feed algorithms are scientifically proven to have a
        strong influence on the decline of trust into democratic institutions
       
          FactKnower69 wrote 9 hours 47 min ago:
          he worked at palantir for 8 years dude, do you think he has the
          capacity to discern if the Facebook news feed was a net positive for
          society
       
        eezing wrote 9 hours 58 min ago:
        It’s Salesforce v2. A ridiculously expensive proprietary
        “easy-to-build” application platform with an ecosystem of
        ridiculously expensive consultants.
       
          SpicyLemonZest wrote 9 hours 18 min ago:
          Salesforce v2 is a pretty bull case for Palantir! This bias people
          have against against application platforms requiring a consultant
          ecosystem and per-customer installations is just not accurate - in
          software, as in the rest of the world, there are some areas where
          it's the right model to get things done efficiently. Walmart can't
          use an off-the-shelf CRM platform any more than US Steel could use an
          off-the-shelf furnace.
       
            wbl wrote 7 hours 56 min ago:
            US steel very infamously did not do any R&D and stuck to outmoded
            technology.
       
        akira2501 wrote 10 hours 2 min ago:
        So this entire article seems to actually describe a _single_
        work/consultation product,  then spends the rest of the time describing
        and backwardly lauding the absurd cult of personality that seems to
        encompass this entire operation.
        
        "A boring dystopia as a service."
        
        Or maybe I'm just not cognitively ready to read this yet this morning. 
        I guess I'll set my A/C to 60 and chew on some ice to see if that
        helps.    :|
       
          partomniscient wrote 7 hours 58 min ago:
          I agree. I still didn't fully understand what value Palantir adds,
          and it partly felt like they were justifying the 8 years spent
          working for them to themselves. It sounds kind of interesting from a
          corporate culture point of view but that was about it.
       
            tolerance wrote 7 hours 39 min ago:
            It's public relations. Palantir is Not Bad™.
       
        tdeck wrote 10 hours 9 min ago:
        > During the 2016-2020 era especially, telling people you worked at
        Palantir was unpopular. The company was seen as spy tech, NSA
        surveillance, or worse.
        
        Lots of people still see it in exactly this way. The fact that Palantir
        IPO'd and is a magnet for investors doesn't contradict this. Palantir
        always had a reputation for champagne and surveillance.
       
          paulpauper wrote 8 hours 3 min ago:
          Almost all tech  acts as surveillance. Anything that records an IP
          address or GEO data is surveillance.
       
          orochimaaru wrote 9 hours 38 min ago:
          So does AT&T and Verizon which would fall in the morally neutral
          category. Even big tech - Google/meta are probably classified as
          morally neutral but in reality gray areas. The US government probably
          has access to all that data - with our without warrants.
          
          I also agree with his premise. There is really no gray area working
          for defense tech in the US.  In my opinion people have a rather
          lopsided view of that. You would rarely find any other nation that
          where defense tech companies are turned away from job fairs. Kinda
          ridiculous.
       
            moolcool wrote 7 hours 3 min ago:
            > Google/meta are probably classified as morally neutral but in
            reality gray areas
            
            I don't think so. I see tons of people with moral objections to
            Meta specifically.
       
            Shog9 wrote 8 hours 1 min ago:
            You're being pretty generous toward the "phone companies" here -
            their reputations have decades of bad press and shady behavior to
            shoulder as well. The big difference being, in addition to their
            roles as data brokers and fig-leaves for the spooks, they also
            provide phone service.
            
            So... Y'know. You could just let people assume that you're a
            lineman or something.
       
            julianeon wrote 8 hours 31 min ago:
            Factually untrue.
            
            I'm going to quote ChatGPT here, just because finding links outside
            of that is hard (it's an obscure topic) and this summary is good
            enough.
            
            > The phenomenon of compensating wage differentials for working in
            "sin" industries is observed not just in the U.S., but
            internationally as well.
            
            About "sin" industries:
            
            > "Sin industries" (alcohol, tobacco, gambling, pornography,
            miltech) can be seen as morally contentious by some workers. As a
            result, individuals may seek higher wages to compensate for any
            discomfort or societal stigma attached to their work in those
            sectors.
       
              bigstrat2003 wrote 7 hours 9 min ago:
              ChatGPT is not a valid source to substantiate a claim.
       
                rabf wrote 2 hours 42 min ago:
                What sources do suggest as superior?
       
                xk_id wrote 6 hours 9 min ago:
                It’s veiled spam and i don’t know why HN isn’t outright
                prohibiting it
       
              tolerance wrote 8 hours 10 min ago:
              Julian,
              
              I know that on the Internet the demand for sources can be a
              preemptive concern when structuring an argument.
              
              However—please—there is no need to resort to large language
              model applications in order to support your subjective claims.
              
              You can do this on your own, son. If the machine can find it, so
              can you! Take your time, think things through. What you're saying
              would sound more reasonable in your own words.
       
                rabf wrote 2 hours 44 min ago:
                I find the disdain for LLM's somewhat troubling when they they
                are easily in the top 1% of commenters on most subjects.
       
                julianeon wrote 6 hours 59 min ago:
                Since you asked, I think I'll explain myself.
                
                I did look for sources. I estimate it would've taken about 15
                minutes to collect the sources and link them. Basically if you
                do the search yourself, you'll see the first page or so of
                links is very academic ones. So I would need to scroll past all
                those, and read the abstract to find one that corroborated my
                argument.
                
                This is not, as they say, a paid position: it's fair to say
                "that takes to long" and choose not to do this. Which is what I
                did here.
                
                Now I'm not sure what the correct thing to do here was, in
                retrospect. I can see that an LLM is not a popular choice,
                though I thought it was a defensible compromise between "no
                source" and "spending too long finding actual sources."
                
                I could've handwaved and said "academics say" without sourcing
                (probably the best choice).
                
                I won't cite an LLM next time. I'll probably just frankly say
                "you can look it up, I won't do that because it takes too long,
                but..." I believe that's a fair compromise between "saying
                nothing" and "spending 15-20 minutes on a thankless research
                task."
                
                The one thing I'm unwilling to do here is to just spend 15-20
                minutes on this, however. I'd rather be downvoted, or simply
                say nothing.
       
                  tolerance wrote 5 hours 44 min ago:
                  I feel you.
                  
                  The cost of defending a reasonable sentiment on the internet
                  always outweighs the benefits...because whether there are
                  "winners" in online arguments is questionable.
                  
                  It takes a lot of forbearance to express an opinion, an
                  observation, an anecdote or provide even objective
                  information, and move on. Or, turn the 15–20 minutes into
                  an entire weekend; researching, analyzing, drafting, revising
                  and publishing a report to substantiate the claims for the
                  next guy (and for the AI scraper bots who will use for work
                  to support the argument of the next guy).
       
                  nonameiguess wrote 5 hours 50 min ago:
                  I want to be as charitable as possible, but it sounds like
                  you're saying here your alternative was to skim a bunch of
                  sources until finding one that agrees with you, then citing
                  it as if it's the only authority out there and the matter is
                  settled. While the more cynical part of me doesn't doubt
                  that's what everyone on the Internet actually does, it's not
                  exactly in the spirit of honest inquiry and I rarely see
                  people flat out admit to it.
                  
                  I can't help but be a little skeptical because both my wife
                  and I have worked in either the military itself or on
                  military technology for most of our adult lives, and while we
                  live comfortably and have no complaints, the pay is nowhere
                  near what you'd get in finance or ad tech or most successful
                  B2C web companies. Quite to the contrary, rather than being
                  compensated for the stigma, there is no stigma. Outside of
                  comments section bubbles, the US military is a widely
                  respected institution and the people holding these kinds of
                  jobs have great pride in their missions and willingly accept
                  less money to work on something they care about and believe
                  in.
                  
                  I can't comment on porn and drugs, which seem quite
                  different.
       
                    tolerance wrote 5 hours 41 min ago:
                    > I want to be as charitable as possible, but it sounds
                    like you're saying here your alternative was to skim a
                    bunch of sources until finding one that agrees with you,
                    then citing it as if it's the only authority out there and
                    the matter is settled. While the more cynical part of me
                    doesn't doubt that's what everyone on the Internet actually
                    does, it's not exactly in the spirit of honest inquiry and
                    I rarely see people flat out admit to it.
                    
                    Outside of the spirit of honest inquiry, perhaps no. But I
                    commend his honesty in general.
       
            NegatioN wrote 8 hours 34 min ago:
            "Right now there's this thing where ethics aren't what they used to
            be. This idea that people are trying to replace the ideas of good
            and bad, with better or worse." -Dave Chappelle
            
            What you're writing should naturally lead to the conclusion that
            working for Google, Meta, Verizon, AT&T etc are all in the category
            of companies one shouldn't strive to use their hard earned talents
            for. For some reason I cannot fathom, you seem to land on the idea
            that Palantir is okay, because all these others somehow have snuck
            under the radar of many people?
       
              orochimaaru wrote 8 hours 29 min ago:
              I’m saying Palantir and defense tech is better because they are
              upfront about their association. In contrast you have what the
              author calls as morally neutral companies that are in fact gray
              areas.
       
            nxobject wrote 9 hours 26 min ago:
            I'm sure there are plenty of people who say no to working on
            improving Facebook engagement, DoubleClick etc. for that reason! As
            opposed, to, say, something like the calming algorithm YouTube uses
            with its comments.
            
            (Also, there are plenty of reasons why the American defense
            industry is both quanitatively and qualitatively different from
            those of other nations, e.g. France, Sweden – i.e. its
            disproportionate involvement with arms sales, its involvement with
            defense boondoggles and the opportunity cost, etc. Regardless of
            the grays, when the system is black, entire countries are painted
            black.)
       
            stackskipton wrote 9 hours 28 min ago:
            >You would rarely find any other nation that where defense tech
            companies are turned away from job fairs. Kinda ridiculous.
            
            Probably because US MIC is weird political place. On one hand, it's
            turns out really cool tech and US needs defense. On other hand, who
            are we defending from and why are spending all this money on world
            police when we have a ton of internal problems? Throw in some pork
            barrel in there to add to political stuff.
            
            When people post memes about "You are about to find out why US
            doesn't have free healthcare." with some overwhelming American
            firepower equipment in the image, it's not hard to see why a lot of
            people find it a grey area.
       
              mega_dean wrote 4 hours 4 min ago:
              > On other hand, who are we defending from and why are spending
              all this money on world police when we have a ton of internal
              problems?
              
              Reminds me of this scene in Wag the Dog: [1] "The war of the
              future is nuclear terrorism. It is, and it will be against a
              small group of dissidents who, unbeknownst to perhaps their own
              governments, have blah blah blah blah blah. And to go to that
              war, you have to be prepared."
              
  HTML        [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wwgPnYVg74Y
       
              psunavy03 wrote 8 hours 57 min ago:
              > On other hand, who are we defending from and why are spending
              all this money on world police when we have a ton of internal
              problems?
              
              Because someone has to be this if you want the continuation of
              the post-WWII rules-based international order that underpins the
              entire global economy.    The Department of Defense and US hegemony
              are essentially overhead that is the Least Bad Option to stop
              WWIII from kicking off or the world from fragmenting into spheres
              of influence (which is starting to happen already).  Who else
              would do this and not screw over everyone else even worse? 
              Russia?  China?
       
                walleeee wrote 7 hours 16 min ago:
                You may be correct on at least one point: the DOD may have
                stepped us all down from WW3 recently, to the chagrin of other
                elements of the establishment who have gotten used to
                whispering foreign policy into the relevant ears with no
                pushback
       
                saturn8601 wrote 7 hours 56 min ago:
                Great. So Americans get to be the suckers propping up the
                decent lifestyles of the rest of the western world and much of
                Asia and the ME.
                
                This country has a collapsing middle class, horrendously bad
                health outcomes, ever increasing amount of corruption and
                little chance to turn things around because of entrenched
                interests.
                
                I can just picture the thought process going in your head(and
                many others) right now. If you hate it so much why dont you
                leave.
       
                  yks wrote 6 hours 37 min ago:
                  > Americans get to be the suckers propping up the decent
                  lifestyles of the rest of the western world and much of Asia
                  and the ME
                  
                  America benefited greatly from this position though, it's
                  just the gains have not been equally distributed, and one can
                  make an argument that Americans simply vote for that outcome.
                  It is very unclear to me how the situation of the middle
                  class in the US becomes any better if the US gives up its
                  leverage for Chinese to dictate the terms. FWIW pre-WW1 the
                  US had even worse inequality while not propping up anyone's
                  lifestyle abroad.
       
                    saturn8601 wrote 4 hours 23 min ago:
                    >It is very unclear to me how the situation of the middle
                    class in the US becomes any better if the US gives up its
                    leverage for Chinese to dictate the terms. FWIW pre-WW1 the
                    US had even worse inequality while not propping up anyone's
                    lifestyle abroad.
                    
                    This was explained in the other post which I will reproduce
                    here:
                    
                    "looking at history of the US, the only time the people at
                    the top ever gave any semblance of crumbs to everyone else
                    was when they knew they were in deep trouble and were
                    forced to part with whatever little they could give to calm
                    the masses.
                    
                    Think of Medicare, Social Security etc. We saw it again
                    with Obamacare. The country was in a rage so out came the
                    bare minimum. Elimination of barbaric things like
                    pre-existing conditions in exchange for guaranteed income
                    for the insurance companies. Absolute breadcrumbs but it
                    was something.
                    
                    We just need something like that on a worldwide level.
                    Maybe China rising will finally put pressure on the US
                    given that the EU never amounted to much more than being a
                    US vassal state."
                    
                    We saw the best of the US system during the cold war. The
                    system had to prove itself. Im not advocating for communism
                    nor Chinese style fascism just more competition.
                    
                    The third world is already taking advantage of this
                    situation. Nearly every country in the global south has
                    been negatively damaged by the US or Europe at some point.
                    They don't have many options other than to tough it out and
                    hopes the West leaves them with whatever scraps they can
                    get by. If they got too powerful, then the West topples
                    them over. See Pakistan or Bolivia as a recent example. Now
                    China has entered the scene and it has provided the ability
                    for countries to start playing the US and China off of each
                    other to see what they can get out of both countries.
                    Djibouti and its military bases is a small example but we
                    see it with countries like Brazil and Pakistan as well.
                    
                    How would this help the middle class in the US? Well if the
                    elite in the US start to think they will lose out they will
                    start to enact change that will bring the middle class up
                    to snuff in order to better compete...and lets be honest
                    for a moment, whatever they say goes.
       
                      yks wrote 2 hours 11 min ago:
                      If you believe that the progress is achieved when the
                      masses have it the worst, then the deteriorating
                      condition of the American middle class will naturally
                      help it. What's the point in this accelerationism with
                      allies as casualties then?
       
                        saturn8601 wrote 54 min ago:
                        >If you believe that the progress is achieved when the
                        masses have it the worst, then the deteriorating
                        condition of the American middle class will naturally
                        help it.
                        
                        Thats what we have seen historically. People always
                        demand improvements. The leadership of this country
                        hasn't actually done it until they really have a pissed
                        off populace at their doorstep. I wouldn't believe it
                        if it weren't for the historical precedent.
                        
                        >What's the point in this accelerationism with allies
                        as casualties then?
                        
                        Americans should be first in line when it comes to who
                        the government serves but if you just look at the US
                        government's actions vs other governments in the west,
                        the US government clearly does not have their citizens
                        interests first and foremost.
                        
                        Think of all the rights and regulations the EU(or hell
                        even many third world countries) have vs the US.
                        
                        It manifests itself in so many ways:
                        
                        Some easy examples demonstrating small issues as well
                        as big ones:
                        
                        1. EU countries mandate physical addresses for VOIP
                        number registration. US spends years not implementing
                        its half assed regulations Result: Americans are
                        drowning in spam calls
                        
                        2. EU negotiates drug prices as a government and
                        refuses to pay more than a specific %. Companies would
                        rather get something vs nothing from the EU market. US
                        despite being the largest market, refuses to negotiate
                        as a government even though they have a universal
                        health program(for seniors only but thats a different
                        issue). Result: American made drugs are sometimes up to
                        10x more expensive in the US than elsewhere. A vial of
                        insulin in EU: ~9$ USA: ~99$
                        
                        3. US sends its Navy to patrol world seas, ensuring
                        flow of goods. Result: EU does not meet required 2% of
                        NATO spending and instead funnels that money into
                        social services like subsidized colleges. Result: US
                        citizens either drown with a lifetimes worth of college
                        debt or take a chance in the Military for subsidized
                        college after giving up 4+ years of their young adult
                        life serving their military contract while EU citizens
                        graduate debt free and take a gap year traveling
                        instead.
                        
                        I can go on for literal dozens of examples. I
                        specifically chose to go from small to big to show that
                        the problem is systemic and permeates all aspects of
                        American life. In many ways the American system is one
                        giant scam and they only people benefiting are people
                        who have managed to survive in the upper echelons of
                        the income stratosphere or are foreigners.
                        
                        If the US changed its focus to be more inward, it can
                        focus on rebuilding manufacturing which would increase
                        jobs availability and give more power to workers which
                        would lead to other rights for the common man such as
                        demanding more from the government to help US peoples
                        among many other examples.
       
                    nxobject wrote 6 hours 26 min ago:
                    I think there's some clarification that needs to happen,
                    though: what would it mean for "China to dictate the
                    terms", and does that necessarily happen if the US "steps
                    back" (and what does that mean?) In a charitable
                    interpretation, the US remains an important trading,
                    industrial, technological, and educational world power.
                    Perhaps it might even keep the spending on worldwide
                    surveillance (e.g. spy satellites). Geopolitical influence
                    allows for many strategies.
       
                      yks wrote 6 hours 9 min ago:
                      Stepping back from enforcing post-WW2 world order means
                      letting China, Russia, Iran to freely install their
                      satellite and unfriendly-to-the-US regimes around the
                      world, by force if needed. Which means access to the
                      foreign markets will be curtailed for the US or otherwise
                      "dictated" by other powers. It's hard to see how that
                      leads to more prosperity for Americans, especially since
                      the political forces trying to bring that about are also
                      not very pro-"trading, industry, technology and
                      education".
                      
                      The GP says that they don't want to prop up foreign
                      lifestyles because the middle class in the US is
                      struggling but isolationism in the 21st century will not
                      make things better for the US middle class. Nor for
                      middle class of any other country really, although the GP
                      doesn't care about those.
       
                        saturn8601 wrote 4 hours 11 min ago:
                        >Stepping back from enforcing post-WW2 world order
                        means letting China, Russia, Iran to freely install
                        their satellite and unfriendly-to-the-US regimes around
                        the world, by force if needed.
                        
                        The US isn't going anywhere. In fact China has serious
                        structural problems that may make all this conversation
                        pointless. But there needs to be some sort of pathway
                        for the global south to move forward. If that involves
                        having China rise up and then countries accepting that
                        all they can do is play the US and China off of each
                        other to get the best deals out of them then thats
                        still a step forward. If climate change comes to pass
                        it may not even matter. The US and the West is the
                        cause for the majority of the historical pollution yet
                        its the unprepared global south that will bear the
                        worst brunt of climate change. So the best I am
                        advocating for is that the global south take one step
                        forward and hope they don't end up five steps backwards
                        in the long run.
                        
                        >The GP says that they don't want to prop up foreign
                        lifestyles because the middle class in the US is
                        struggling but isolationism in the 21st century will
                        not make things better for the US middle class. Nor for
                        middle class of any other country really, although the
                        GP doesn't care about those.
                        
                        As to improving the middle class, we need to understand
                        the structural reasons why they are sinking. Decades of
                        erosion to US institutions has led to a situation that
                        can only change if things get really bad and the
                        citizens really demand change..or the US elite are
                        challenged with some real competition. I dont see how
                        it can happen naturally in the US anymore. Every time
                        people get fed up, there is a "release valve" or a
                        distraction in the form of crumbs offered to people so
                        that enough settle down or fixate on something else. We
                        saw it after the "Occupy Wall Street Protests" with the
                        beginning of the culture wars as well as the passing of
                        Obamacare which eliminated the most barbaric provisions
                        of health care in the US. It is not meaningful change
                        but it calmed people down. This method will lead to
                        decades of the elite retaining their leverage. I dont
                        want to see my life pass before my eyes and no real
                        reform ends up happening.
                        
                        In terms of the second method of having the elite being
                        challenged, We saw in the cold war how the US system
                        had to prove itself and that led to a strong taxation
                        on the wealthy, good institutions, positive movement
                        for the middle class, all to show the Russians that the
                        US led system is the best. There currently is no
                        forcing function to return to that situation at this
                        time.
       
                          yks wrote 1 hour 37 min ago:
                          > We saw in the cold war how the US system had to
                          prove itself and that led to a strong taxation on the
                          wealthy, good institutions, positive movement for the
                          middle class, all to show the Russians that the US
                          led system is the best.
                          
                          I don't think anyone sane thinks that Russians or
                          Chinese masses have it better in economic terms. In
                          fact, the message of Russian propaganda including its
                          American extension is that everything sucks
                          everywhere.
       
                            saturn8601 wrote 1 hour 27 min ago:
                            >I don't think anyone sane thinks that Russians or
                            Chinese masses have it better in economic terms. In
                            fact, the message of Russian propaganda including
                            its American extension is that everything sucks
                            everywhere.
                            
                            Uh did I say anything of the sort?
                            
                            When the Cold War was going on the communist system
                            was initially out producing and out maneuvering the
                            US but eventually the fallacy of a communist (and
                            subsequently fascist takeover of the government)
                            made it inevitable that it was going to fail.
                            
                            However during this fight between the two powers,
                            the US saw great advances in the prosperity and
                            rights of its middle class. As the USSR started to
                            fall, we saw the beginnings of corporate takeover
                            of all layers of the US government and it really
                            accelerated after the USSR fell. You are making
                            this argument that the US had it so good while
                            ignoring how it got so good and also failing to
                            acknowledge why it has declined so much over the
                            last few decades. If you don't buy my argument then
                            I challenge you to provide an alternative
                            explanation.
       
                ngcazz wrote 8 hours 17 min ago:
                We should stop defending an imperialist establishment which
                relies on the rampant exploitation of the global south and is
                committing genocide and calling it rules-based order. More like
                America rules.
                
                The containment rhetoric/logic is long past its use-by date -
                the US's pretense as guardians of a common moral high ground
                was shattered at the very latest with the Vietnam War, and in
                2024 it is an absolute tragedy of a joke in poor taste.
                
                You gotta think this rules-based order is designed to drive
                anyone decent crazy. What else can happen when you hear pieces
                of shit like Blinken wax lyrical about the human rights of
                Palestinians while supercharging weapons deliveries to Israel,
                or the very existence of the UNSC veto which will guarantee 
                outcomes that reinforce unforgivable and unforgettable mass
                crimes, beckoning awful consequences for the whole world.
       
                  itsoktocry wrote 7 hours 37 min ago:
                  >You gotta think this rules-based order is designed to drive
                  anyone decent crazy.
                  
                  All complaints, no solutions.  Typical.
                  
                  So who does have the moral high-ground around the globe? It's
                  unbelievable to me how many people think it'd be all peace
                  and harmony if the US disappeared.  I can imagine much worse,
                  just by reading a history book.
       
                    mistermann wrote 4 hours 10 min ago:
                    > It's unbelievable to me how many people think it'd be all
                    peace and harmony if the US disappeared. I can imagine much
                    worse, just by reading a history book.
                    
                    What is the relevance of this to the content of the comment
                    you are replying to?
       
                    bigstrat2003 wrote 7 hours 11 min ago:
                    > It's unbelievable to me how many people think it'd be all
                    peace and harmony if the US disappeared.
                    
                    You've misread the situation. I don't think it would be
                    global peace and harmony if we stopped playing world
                    police. I simply do not care. It's not our responsibility
                    to take care of other countries while we have serious
                    problems at home that are going ignored.
       
                      scottyah wrote 4 hours 45 min ago:
                      Kissinger set out for a policy that prioritized
                      stability, communication, and mutual understanding of
                      each others' desires to live their own lives.
                      
                      If we do not "take care" of other countries (as in stop
                      being world police, stop assisting in their problems like
                      Clinton did with Ireland's Troubles, etc...) we would
                      have their problems at our doorstep.
                      
                      Also, there is definitely a subset of Americans that
                      cannot stand by living well when others aren't, just
                      because they other people were born elsewhere. This
                      applies on all levels: Country, State, County, City,
                      Neighborhood, block, house, etc.
       
                        saturn8601 wrote 1 hour 13 min ago:
                        What are you smoking? Have you not seen the list of all
                        the governments that have been "removed" by the US?
                        Most recently Pakistan which was a year ago
                        
                        [1]
                        
  HTML                  [1]: https://theintercept.com/2023/08/09/imran-khan...
  HTML                  [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_in...
       
                    saturn8601 wrote 7 hours 34 min ago:
                    I'd like to think that Pakistan would be on a better road
                    if their democratically elected leader wasn't ousted by the
                    US.
                    
                    Thats one example, there are many others.
                    
                    In terms of solutions, well looking at history of the US,
                    the only time the people at the top ever gave any semblance
                    of crumbs to everyone else was when they knew they were in
                    deep trouble and were forced to part with whatever little
                    they could give to calm the masses.
                    
                    Think of Medicare, Social Security etc. We saw it again
                    with Obamacare. The country was in a rage so out came the
                    bare minimum. Elimination of barbaric things like
                    pre-existing conditions in exchange for guaranteed income
                    for the insurance companies. Absolute breadcrumbs but it
                    was something.
                    
                    We just need something like that on a worldwide level.
                    Maybe China rising will finally put pressure on the US
                    given that the EU never amounted to much more than being a
                    US vassal state.
       
                mistermann wrote 8 hours 26 min ago:
                Force is only one of many methods to achieve certain outcomes,
                not all methods that could achieve the same general outcome are
                known, very little cognitive effort is put into searching for
                alternatives, leaving few options other than speculation if one
                is obligated to form a conclusion on the matter.
       
                  scottyah wrote 4 hours 50 min ago:
                  All deliberate actions to achieve certain outcomes are
                  "force", it is a scale not a binary option.
       
                    mistermann wrote 4 hours 13 min ago:
                    I am skeptical, let's run an experiment and see what the
                    response is:
                    
                    Is feeding the homeless so they are not hungry "force"?
                    
                    Is lending a compassionate ear to someone suffering so they
                    may feel a bit better "force"?
                    
                    Is making myself a nice sandwich and watching a movie
                    because I find it pleasant "force"?
       
        nuz wrote 10 hours 11 min ago:
        Since will come up, Thiels response to some of current geopolitical
        critiques of Palantir:
        
  HTML  [1]: https://youtu.be/bNewfkhhwMo?t=3755
       
          EasyMark wrote 6 hours 14 min ago:
          Thiel knows how to get rich and I’ll give him that, however I would
          never trust his reptilian takes on geopolitics or anything else
          outside of business strategy and even then I might limit it to stuff
          he’s working on in the past.
       
          jedimind wrote 6 hours 55 min ago:
          Thiel is such a propagandist, his speech reminds me of Nazi
          propaganda where the Nazis claimed that Jews had declared war on
          Germany. This narrative was part of a broader anti-Semitic campaign
          to justify the persecution of Jews. The Nazis cited several instances
          as evidence of this purported declaration of war by Jews, most
          notably a headline from the British newspaper The Daily Express on
          March 24, 1933, which read "Judea Declares War on Germany." This
          headline was in response to a worldwide boycott of German goods
          organized by Jewish groups to protest against the early actions of
          the Nazi government, such as the boycott of Jewish businesses in
          Germany.
          
          The Nazi regime used this headline and other similar international
          actions to claim that the global Jewish community was an enemy of
          Germany. This supposed declaration of war served as a convenient
          pretext for the Nazis to intensify their anti-Semitic policies, which
          eventually led to the Holocaust. The narrative fit into the broader
          Nazi ideology that portrayed Jews as an existential threat to the
          German nation and the Aryan race, and it was used to justify the
          systematic genocide that was to follow. This is akin to Thiel stating
          "well, if the jews had the power, they too would have committed a
          holocaust against the Germans", this is sheer insanity, he uses a
          similar argument to justify the Palestinian genocide. Stating "they
          didn't dresden Gaza", huh? What Israel did to Gaza is, by any
          measurable metric, much worse than what happened to Dresden. His
          defense of Israel's Genocide of Palestinians is not just factually
          wrong but filled with statements that are evidence of his denial of
          reality.
          
          At 1:03:05 Thiel states: "the intent to commit a crime is where the
          crime gets committed". LOL, and the audience clapped - what absolute
          insanity. Legally and pragmatically, that statement is absurd. One
          can not judge people based on their "intentions", which can't be
          separated from personal bias and interpretation, but only on their
          concrete actions and not their perceived "thought crimes".
          
          So Thiel dishonestly removes all context of a century of brutal
          colonialism and ethnic-cleansing to paint the crudest zionist
          propaganda of "they just want to kill all jews" instead of a
          colonized people whose children, in the same year - months before
          that event, were brutally murdered by the israeli occupation as they
          have done for decades: At least 507 Palestinians were killed in the
          West Bank in 2023, including at least 81 children, making it the
          deadliest year for Palestinians since the United Nations Office for
          the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) began recording
          casualties in 2005. [ [1] ...]
          
          Weaponizing antisemitism to disguise colonialism is extremely heinous
          and cheapens real antisemitism - would it make any difference if the
          occupiers were Scientologists? If you lose your land and property why
          would you care about the identity of your oppressor?
          
          Even Ahmed Yassin the founder of hamas has a famous video shared
          across social media where he states: “We don’t hate Jews and
          fight them because they are Jews. Jews are people of a religion, and
          we are people of a religion. We love all people of religion. My
          brother even if he is my brother and he is a Muslim, If he steals my
          house and kicks me out, I will resist him.”
          
          Although the zionist propagandists know very well that it is their
          oppressive occupation for which they are hated, they still prefer
          peddling a false narrative that their targets of colonization just
          "hate the jews", because it's a very potent narrative that plays into
          islamophobic and orientalist tropes which the western world finds
          appealing.
          
  HTML    [1]: https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2024/02/shocking-spik
       
        jgalt212 wrote 10 hours 17 min ago:
        246 PE, with a $94B market cap. [1] Alex Karp has something figured
        out.  The investor class loves him.
        
  HTML  [1]: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/
       
          specialsits wrote 9 hours 33 min ago:
          It's always amusing when armchair investors throw around financial
          metrics meant for entirely different types of companies, just to
          sound knowledgeable because they've heard others repeat the same lazy
          jargon.
       
            cgh wrote 9 hours 26 min ago:
            Honest question from someone who "armchair invests" in broad-market
            ETFs: what metrics would I look at for a company like Palantir? I'm
            not asking for investment lessons. Just your opinion and some links
            would be fine.
       
              airstrike wrote 8 hours 3 min ago:
              Always forward multiples, never trailing ones. Palantir likely
              trades on Enterprise Value / NTM Revenue (next 12 months).
              
              Don't just take the average provided by something like Yahoo
              Finance. You need to look at which analysts are providing
              estimates, decide which of those analysts are reliable (e.g. a
              Bank of America analyst can be trusted, a Morningstar bot that
              writes research reports cannot), write down all their estimates,
              take either the mean or average
              
              Because few analysts provide quarterly estimates, you need to use
              annual estimates instead. But the next twelve months are going to
              be made of some part of 2024 plus some part of 2025. Palantir's
              fiscal year is 12/31/2024 so it's a bit less annoying to
              calculate.
              
              Their most recently reported quarter was Q2 2024, so the next 12
              months = Q3 2024 + Q4 2024 + Q1 2025 + Q2 2025[1].
              
              Then you have to calculate enterprise value, which is easier said
              than done. In a nutshell, it's the total equity value + debt -
              cash, but there are always minor things to adjust. Equity value
              is the number of diluted shares outstanding[2] multiplied by
              today's share price. To calculate diluted shares, you will need
              to know the options that are outstanding on the company and use
              the Treasury Stock Method to assume all of the in-the-money
              options are exercised, with the proceeds from those options being
              used to buy back shares. Debt you can get from financial
              statements, unless the company has publicly traded debt in which
              case you might need to adjust for its current value rather than
              its book value. Cash you can simply get from financial
              statements, but there can be issues there too depending on how
              complex the company is. Add all of that together (subtract cash!)
              and you get Enterprise Value.
              
              Divide Enterprise Value by NTM Revenue and you'll get a revenue
              multiple for this company today. But if you want to calculate
              what the company _should_ be worth relative to competitors, you
              can do the same thing for all of its competitors, then take the
              mean/average EV/Revenue of those comps and say "PLTR should be
              worth this much"
              
              Also separately you can build a DCF if you have sufficient
              visibility into the future cashflows of the company.[3]
              
              You can take some shortcuts or go even deeper in all of the
              above. It comes down to how much scrutiny you need for the
              investment you're making. Are you SAP trying to acquire Palantir?
              You're going to do all of the above with more detail than I
              explained. Are you deciding whether to rebalance a bit of your
              portfolio out of Palantir as an individual trader? Maybe Yahoo
              Finance Pro estimates are serviceable enough (I wouldn't know).
              
              OR just find an analyst whose views on the company you happen to
              like and who you think is generally right and look at their
              multiples so you don't have to do all that legwork yourself. But
              you'll need to be a client at their bank to get access to their
              research...
              
              ----
              
              [1] Some people like to do (days left in 2024 / 365) * FY 2024
              estimates and take the remaining days to make up a year * FY
              2025, but that's totally wrong for many reasons, the most obvious
              being that investors aren't updating their models (and thus the
              valuation multiples those models output) on a daily basis.
              There's no new news about the company every single day, so
              estimates should be stable over the course of the quarter.
              
              [2] NOT from the earnings report, as that "diluted shares" for
              EPS means something else: to simplify, it means diluted over the
              course of the year rather than today, which is what we want.
              
              [3] For fast growing companies, this is harder because you need
              to extrapolate all the way until you get to a year with
              relatively low growth cash flows in order to get to a "terminal
              year" for a DCF analysis, but if you're projecting 10-20 years
              into the future, chances are you're wrong!
       
                cgh wrote 5 hours 43 min ago:
                Fantastic response, thank you for taking the time.
       
                  airstrike wrote 5 hours 16 min ago:
                  My pleasure! Wall Street likes to gatekeep this info (it's
                  very simple math but banks charge millions for it) and
                  there's a disheartening shortage of publicly available
                  repositories with this knowledge (most of it can be
                  automated, except for one-off adjustments you need to make
                  for each company here and there for accounting reasons or out
                  of the ordinary occurrences)
                  
                  The bit I forgot to add is that you kinda have to do the
                  reverse too, if you're valuing the company based on
                  comparables: take their mean multiple, then apply that PLTR's
                  forward revenue to get to some enterprise value, then
                  subtract net debt (i.e. minus debt _plus_ cash now!) and get
                  to equity value. Then divide by the diluted shares (you have
                  to imply the Treasury Stock Method dilution in some somewhat
                  circular Excel math) to get to a final dollar value per share
                  
                  You can take this one step further and draw line charts over
                  time with these multiples vs. comparables to see how the
                  sentiment has changed for this stock (or for comparables)
                  over time. And many other similar analyses...
       
          airstrike wrote 9 hours 45 min ago:
          Not every company trades on P/E. Some trade on EBITDA, others on
          Revenue. It's a spectrum. The more mature (code for more profitable,
          lower growth), the more likely it trades on P/E.
          
          Palantir has $0.09 earnings per share. 2023 was the first year they
          were profitable. So P/E isn't the right metric to look at here.
          
          Also no investor ever trades on _trailing_ metrics. It's all about
          forward earnings, but 99.999999% of valuation multiples you see
          online are trailing metrics (or use questionable forward estimates
          pulled from some aggregate which is also just noise instead of
          actually diligencing estimates)
       
          jgalt212 wrote 10 hours 10 min ago:
          As best I can tell only ARM has a higher PE and Market Cap.
          
  HTML    [1]: https://www.marketbeat.com/market-data/high-pe-stocks/
       
            airstrike wrote 9 hours 40 min ago:
            Those are trailing P/E numbers, so they are just plain wrong and
            should be disregarded.
            
            Also P/E doesn't matter for companies that have not been profitable
            for long. Any PE number above 100x is very likely just noise. I
            wouldn't look at anything too far above 30x, maybe 40x to account
            for the craze behind NVDA today
       
              jgalt212 wrote 9 hours 23 min ago:
              > they are just plain wrong and should be disregarded.
              
              Are you saying Palantir's previous 10-Ks and 10-Qs have material
              misstatements of fact?
       
                airstrike wrote 9 hours 7 min ago:
                No, it's just the trading multiples derived from them that are
                totally wrong for the purposes of valuing the company today,
                because the Ks and Qs pertain to the past, which we cannot
                visit.
       
                nonameiguess wrote 9 hours 10 min ago:
                Kind of conveniently cut off the first part of the statement
                there. The basis of fundamental valuation, discounted cash flow
                analysis, looks at all cash flows, forever, into the far future
                until the company dies. For a sufficiently mature company,
                current earnings are reasonably considered a good approximation
                of future earnings. For a newer company that is growing rapidly
                and spending most of its cash on long term investments rather
                than current year operations, it is not. Otherwise, every new
                company that has no earnings yet would be worthless, or if you
                consider losing money to be negative earnings, you're saying
                they should be paying you to own them.
       
              jgalt212 wrote 9 hours 27 min ago:
              Fine, but it is notable / extremely notable that there is only
              one large cap more expensive than Palantir on a PE basis.  I'm
              not splitting hairs here, I'm talking about extreme outliers.
       
                airstrike wrote 8 hours 31 min ago:
                It isn't really notable because those PE multiples are
                literally just noise. There are many companies with negative PE
                on that list too, even though that makes no sense.
                
                To take that even further, imagine ACME Corp.'s stock price is
                $1.00 today. You're a research analyst and built a very robust
                model based on your understanding of the company, the market in
                which it operates, corporate guidance, competitor performance,
                your experience, phone checks with the sales channel, etc. Your
                model currently says the company will have negative ($0.01) EPS
                over the next 12 months. Based on this information, its implied
                forward P/E multiple is -100.0x.
                
                The next day, you come to work and update your model based on
                some new information like the Fed cutting rates by 25 bps or
                revised labor market assumptions, what have you, such that your
                expected next twelve months EPS is now positive $0.01. The
                implied trading multiple is now 100.0x.
                
                Do you think a $0.02 change in the expected EPS should result
                in a 200.0x P/E difference? No, it shouldn't. The P/E ratio for
                a company with negative or near-zero earnings has no meaning.
       
                  jgalt212 wrote 5 hours 57 min ago:
                  > . The P/E ratio for a company with negative or near-zero
                  earnings has no meaning.
                  
                  Only true in a ZIRP world, which no longer exists. Companies
                  have bills to pay, and if you're constantly bouncing around 0
                  PE gambler's ruin is not far ahead
       
                    airstrike wrote 5 hours 48 min ago:
                    This is factually incorrect. Plenty of negative P/E
                    companies in the market with positive implied equity value.
                    
                    The least objectionable defense of my argument is that many
                    such companies are choosing to reinvest so much of their
                    cash flows into more growth because that creates higher NPV
                    than the alternative. If they wanted to, they could be
                    profitable, but they choose not to be in order to be MORE
                    profitable in the future.
                    
                    Also note EPS is an accounting metric, so it's just
                    "theoretical" stuff. It's not cash flow. These companies in
                    general have positive operating cash flow... including PLTR
       
        giraffe_lady wrote 10 hours 30 min ago:
        >  The company was seen as spy tech, NSA surveillance, or worse.
        
        At the risk of "getting political" which obviously the original post
        can't possibly be ever. It was seen as those things because it is those
        things.
        
        Palantir is to the palestinian genocide what IBM was to the holocaust.
        This guy is going to lie to his grandchildren about what he was doing
        during this time.
        
        No "reflection" on palantir without grappling with its role in
        oppression is worth writing.
       
        newprint wrote 1 day ago:
        Can someone explain to me what is the Palantir's business model ?
        I haven't heard any large, meaningful project they been involved in,
        but I keep hearing the company name & how hot they are and their stocks
        are going to blow-up any day (some of my friends kept their stocks for
        the last 4-5 years with very little gain compared to other software
        companies).
        I know of the smaller software companies that are less than 100 people
        and have a very meaningful impact in DoD & Gov space.
       
          sleepybrett wrote 3 hours 50 min ago:
          your own private digital cia, for hire to the highest bidder.
       
          sangnoir wrote 5 hours 4 min ago:
          > Can someone explain to me what is the Palantir's business model
          
          AFAICT, it is government & government-adjacent contracting using
          techniques borrowed from big tech and WITCH, since big tech won't
          directly court government sw contracts, and WITCH may fail at getting
          clearances for foreign-based personnel.
       
            ericjmorey wrote 4 hours 16 min ago:
            WITCH?
       
              sangnoir wrote 3 hours 21 min ago:
              Wipro, Infosys, TCS, Cognizant, and HCL. i.e. "large tech
              consulting companies" if you're feeling generous, "body shops" if
              you're not.
       
              wpasc wrote 3 hours 31 min ago:
              I was curious too; here's an HN link spelling it out and
              discussing in context of working there:
              
  HTML        [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27571707
       
              dullcrisp wrote 3 hours 36 min ago:
              WITCH!!
       
          swordsmith wrote 7 hours 0 min ago:
          I use Foundry for work. It makes data ingestion, cleaning, quality
          check and automation easy. After all the data is ingested, running
          analysis/RAG on them become extremely easy.
          
          Basically, it's end-to-end data engineering and analytics. And the
          more a company uses/invests into the platform, the more benefit and
          locked-in they are.
       
            alexpetralia wrote 5 hours 33 min ago:
            "End-to-end data engineering and analytics" is quite a bold claim
            from a single service provider.
            
            Here is the link for anyone interested: [1] and a YouTube
            explainer: [2] Given you've used it, just how self-service is it?
            To me this seems like such a large claim that - if it's doable -
            I'm surprised there are not more competitors in the "vertically
            integrated data providers" space.
            
  HTML      [1]: https://www.palantir.com/platforms/foundry/
  HTML      [2]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGGRCTTjLfQ
       
              maeil wrote 2 hours 56 min ago:
              > Given you've used it, just how self-service is it? To me this
              seems like such a large claim that - if it's doable - I'm
              surprised there are not more competitors in the "vertically
              integrated data providers" space.
              
              It is both very self service and not very self service. That's
              why they employ the FDE model from the article, to actually
              ingrain it into the client company to the point that it becomes
              self service.
              
              It's extremely hard to build such a product from scratch and have
              it actually be good, that's why there's no competitors.
              Especially providing the finely grained security controls that
              the article talks about, and have the platform be secure. There's
              a reason their security team wins the biggest CTFs half the time.
       
            hermitcrab wrote 5 hours 33 min ago:
            RAG?
       
              mandevil wrote 5 hours 20 min ago:
              Retrieval Augmented Generation. [1] Basically, using your actual
              data/documents to supplement a general purpose LLM and generate
              better answers for your specific use case.
              
  HTML        [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retrieval-augmented_genera...
       
          joewhale wrote 7 hours 20 min ago:
          It all comes down to if you have the right sales people that can land
          large govt contracts. The rest is figuring it out as you go. This is
          an incredible moat for them. Whoever gets these large govt contracts
          first in their space wins.
       
          melling wrote 7 hours 41 min ago:
          The stock has blown up. It has more than doubled for me. Almost
          tripled.
          
          It’s quite expensive now.
          
          I would encourage you to do your own research.
          
          For some reason, HN has very little depth in stock market
          understanding. HN passed on META at $100.
          
          I know there are some very knowledgeable people here.  Wish there was
          a way to create a “subreddit “ here without all the Reddit noise.
       
            nodesocket wrote 1 hour 58 min ago:
            HN has always lacked economic and stock market knowledge and
            instincts generally speaking. Most comments tend to say it’s
            rigged, evil capitalist, etc. Guessing because hackers generally
            tend to swing far left and socialist though weird as a lot of
            founder and entrepreneurs are active on HN as well.
            
            There is a long tradition of show HN were the comments poo poo
            startups and ideas which end up being huge and the opposite is also
            true with praise and admiration of failures.
       
            rabf wrote 2 hours 59 min ago:
            One of the reasons I still frequent this forum is to countertrade
            the espoused opinions. Meta@100 was such an easy buy, Everyone was
            talking as if they were going out of business because they did not
            like the idea of the metaverse. A quick look at their earnings said
            that was utter nonsesnse. So bizarre to see all jounalists and many
            users here to attribute the turn around to them pivoting to AI when
            that was not at all what the CEO was saying during that time.
            Always look for primary sources, opinions are funny.
       
            sakopov wrote 5 hours 20 min ago:
            If you were buying in the $6s, it nearly 7x'ed in like a year
       
          stephencoyner wrote 9 hours 31 min ago:
          They have a few brand new products that are quite compelling.
          
          Warp Speed: Aims to integrate ERP, MES, PLM, and factory floor
          systems into a single AI-driven platform. As opposed to legacy ERP
          systems, it focuses on production optimization rather than just
          financial tracking. Warp Speed has the potential to relegate legacy
          systems to backend data storage, shifting the entire intelligence
          layer (and value) to Palantir's system. Warp Speed targets both
          innovative new manufacturers (they note Tesla and Space X alums
          starting new companies) and traditional large-scale operations.
          
          Mission Manager: enables other defense contractors to build on
          Palantir's platform and benefit from their security infrastructure
          and position of trust within government. You can think of it as an
          AWS for defense companies; plug and play with the foundations handled
          for you. While the product just launched in Q4 2023, they just
          received a new $33 million CDAO Open DAGIR contract. While this is
          possibly just an advanced POC, it represents significant potential
          for future growth and wider adoption in the defense sector. Now is
          the perfect time. From 2021 to 2023, VC firms invested nearly $100
          billion in defense tech startup companies, a 40% increase from the
          previous seven years combined. Time is the most important thing for
          these startups and Mission Manager shows the potential to save lots
          of it.
       
            NicoJuicy wrote 9 hours 9 min ago:
            > Now is the perfect time
            
            The perfect time is yesterday. All defense companies already went
            way up.
            
            Palantir... Not so much
       
              stephencoyner wrote 9 hours 5 min ago:
              The stock is up 152% YTD. I think they went up?
       
          Manuel_D wrote 10 hours 28 min ago:
          When I interned at Palantir (summer 2014) their business was mostly
          in data ingestion, visualization, and correlation.
          
          A typical workflow for a Palantir customer was that Palantir would
          come in and dump a ton of data out of old crufty databases and into
          Palantir's datastore. Then, they'd establish connections between that
          data. This is all sounds kind of hand-wavy, but the gist of it is
          that a lot of government agencies have data that lives in separate
          databases and they can't easily correlate data between those two
          databases. Once the data was in Palantir's system, they could do
          queries against all their data, and make connections and correlations
          that they wouldn't otherwise be able to find when the data was
          previously siloed.
          
          One of the sample use cases was identifying people filling
          prescriptions for schedule II drugs multiple times on the same day,
          and correlating that with pharmacies run by people connected to known
          drug traffickers. Previously, this was hard to do because the
          database of prescription purchases was disconnected from the database
          of drug convictions.
       
            sroerick wrote 7 hours 14 min ago:
            People dismiss this type of work as no big deal, but in my
            experience this is the actual hard work of producing something
            useful for companies, and what 90% of SaaS resellers will never be
            able to deliver on.
       
              jeltz wrote 5 hours 25 min ago:
              Yes, it is very hard. But does Palantir succeed? Or do they like
              some other companies just trick customers with big wallets to
              buy?
       
                osrec wrote 2 hours 18 min ago:
                We used them at a bulge bracket investment bank and they failed
                miserably...
       
                trenchgun wrote 4 hours 30 min ago:
                To me it seems they do
                
  HTML          [1]: https://logicmag.io/commons/enter-the-dragnet/
       
            thimkerbell wrote 8 hours 6 min ago:
            So if they are dumping data out of old crufty databases and into
            Palantir's datastore, which one is the active database going
            forward?  
            In 2024.
       
            browningstreet wrote 8 hours 9 min ago:
            In many of the enterprise orgs I've worked in, the two tech teams
            that are chronically understaffed are 1) info sec, 2) DBA/ data
            architecture/ data science. I'm lumping those 3 together on
            purpose, because they're always understaffed and typically not
            empowered to build anything.
       
              hitekker wrote 7 hours 42 min ago:
              You're right to group Data teams together. They seem to share a
              common plight.
              
              In my experience, internal employees outside Data have a funny
              relationship with Data. They hate to manage it but they love to
              blame it, especially in analytical / decision-making scenarios.
              Teams that "own" the data usually get the blame, on top of having
              to deal with a mass of rotting pipes and noncompliant teams,
              while also losing out on credit when non-Data teams report big
              wins.
              
              Based on what the GP says, it sounds like Palantir knows how to
              exploit common internal politics around Data. They build up
              technical & social expertise in ETL'ing disparate data sources,
              and they can avoid blame by being hired by executives as an
              external third party.
       
            hammock wrote 10 hours 25 min ago:
            So it’s hygiene and structure
       
              danudey wrote 10 hours 19 min ago:
              IIRC part of it is that the software itself can make connections
              between separate data sets. You're not just ingesting data about
              purchasing information and drug convictions and so on, you're
              getting automatic relationship detection. For example, figuring
              out that the cust_ss_num field in one dataset correlates to the
              conv_ssn_full field in another dataset, and knowing that those
              fields are the "SSN" field from a third dataset, and being able
              to automatically give you a view where those three datasets are
              correlated. This saves people having to go through every data set
              and manually map each field to each other equivalent field in
              each other related dataset.
              
              I could be mistaken, but I think this is how it was explained to
              me originally.
       
                hammock wrote 10 hours 3 min ago:
                That makes sense and sounds really useful
       
                  mperham wrote 3 hours 39 min ago:
                  Building a panopticon is always justified as a way to fight
                  crime and then becomes a way to control the population.
                  Tracking women getting Plan B, tracking people buying birth
                  control, etc.
       
              Manuel_D wrote 10 hours 22 min ago:
              That, and a really powerful visualization suite. In the example I
              gave above, you could plot the prescription purchases on a map
              and see that people were driving along the highway and hitting up
              pharmacies along the interstate. Better yet, you could drop into
              Google Street view in front of one of the pharmacies, and look at
              it from the street level and see that it doesn't even have
              signage indicating it's a pharmacy.
       
                swells34 wrote 5 hours 18 min ago:
                I used it quite a bit early on during military operations. The
                ability to see the timing component was key; not only would you
                plot the purchase locations, but you could play the timeframe
                of records, work out the timing so you knew the order in which
                they visited the locations, where they must have stopped for
                gas along the route. In a classic workflow, you'd then
                investigate the gas stations, attach them to the event with
                confidence intervals, pull CCTV footage, see if you can get a
                payment receipt, and enter all of that data back into palantir.
                A few days of doing this, and you can build up all a map of
                every aspect of the drug run; the who what when where and why.
                It's a fantastic organization system.
       
                  lapphi wrote 2 hours 45 min ago:
                  I appreciate the technical achievements here. However, I
                  wonder how long before it’s standard practice to track all
                  peoples movement, not just those suspected of a crime. I know
                  of at least one YouTube channel that is always recording all
                  traffic camera streams in Washington so there must be some
                  State entities doing the same. Back in 2020 there was a
                  twitch channel that would play a 9x9 grid of all the
                  livestream footage from the George Floyd protests. I’m sure
                  an archive of that exists somewhere on a LE server.
       
                    beeboobaa3 wrote 1 hour 34 min ago:
                    nsa is storing everything
       
          maeil wrote 14 hours 35 min ago:
          They basically have two. Just like e.g. Amazon has both retail and
          cloud infra as separate, independent business models.
          
          One is described well in the article, originally aimed at commercial
          clients. The article isn't short but we're on HN, not Reddit, so we
          should read the articles. Parts 2 and 3 describe it. The linked note
          at the end of 3 is very relevant.
          
          The other one is the gov one, which is also mentioned as "Palantir
          has prevented terrorist attacks".
          
          The article actually links to lots of product docs. It isn't
          secretive, plenty of videos on Youtube demoing the software. The docs
          are public, which is more open than can be said for  90% of software
          in their price range.
       
       
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