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Coronavirus has downgraded from 'tiger to wild cat' and could die out…

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   20 Jun 2020 16:02:30 UTC
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   <a href="http://archive.today/1EWSp">_______________________
    <img style="width:300px;height:200px;background-color:white
    Coronavirus has downgraded from 'tiger to wild cat' and cou
    archived 20 Jun 2020 16:02:30 UTC__________________________
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   {{cite web__________________________________________________
    | title       = Coronavirus has downgraded from 'tiger to w
    | url         = https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/06/20
    | date        = 2020-06-20_________________________________
    | archiveurl  = http://archive.today/1EWSp_________________
    | archivedate = 2020-06-20 }}______________________________

   [10]Jump to navigation

Coronavirus has downgraded from 'tiger to wild cat' and could die out without
vaccine, claims infectious diseases specialist

   Prof Matteo Bassetti said Covid-19 has been losing its virulence and
   patients who would have previously died are now recovering
   [11]By Phoebe Southworth 20 June 2020 • 12:13pm
   Medics at an intensive care unit in Milan, Italy (BUTTON)
   Medics at an intensive care unit in Milan, Italy Credit: Flavio Lo
   Scalzo/Reuters
   Coronavirus has downgraded from a "tiger to a wild cat" and could die
   out on its own without a vaccine, an infectious diseases specialist has
   claimed.
   Prof Matteo Bassetti, head of the infectious diseases clinic at the
   Policlinico San Martino hospital in Italy, told The Telegraph that
   Covid-19 has been losing its virulence in the last month and patients
   who would have previously died are now recovering.
   The expert in critical care said the plummeting number of cases could
   mean a vaccine is no longer needed as the virus might never return.
   His comments come after the Health Secretary announced on Thursday that
   a deal had been struck between pharmaceutical company AstraZeneca and
   Oxford University to begin the manufacture of a potential vaccine.
   "The clinical impression I have is that the virus is changing in
   severity," said Prof Bassetti.
   "In March and early April the patterns were completely different.
   People were coming to the emergency department with a very difficult to
   manage illness and they needed oxygen and ventilation, some developed
   pneumonia.
   "Now, in the past four weeks, the picture has completely changed in
   terms of patterns. There could be a lower viral load in the respiratory
   tract, probably due to a genetic mutation in the virus which has not
   yet been demonstrated scientifically. Also we are now more aware of the
   disease and able to manage it.
   "It was like an aggressive tiger in March and April but now it's like a
   wild cat. Even elderly patients, aged 80 or 90, are now sitting up in
   bed and they are breathing without help. The same patients would have
   died in two or three days before.
   "I think the virus has mutated because our immune system reacts to the
   virus and we have a lower viral load now due to the lockdown,
   mask-wearing, social distancing. We still have to demonstrate why it's
   different now.
   "Yes, probably it could go away completely without a vaccine. We have
   fewer and fewer people infected and it could end up with the virus
   dying out."
   Prof Karol Sikora, an oncologist and chief medical officer at
   Rutherford Health, previously said it is likely the British public has
   more immunity than previously thought and [12]Covid-19 could end up
   "petering out by itself".
   However, Dr Bharat Pankhania, a senior clinical lecturer at the
   University of Exeter Medical School and a former Public Health England
   consultant, said the idea that Covid-19 would die out is "optimistic in
   the short term".
   "I don't expect it to die out that quickly," he told The Telegraph.
   "It will if it has no one to infect. If we have a successful vaccine
   then we'll be able to do what we did with smallpox. But because it's so
   infectious and widespread, it won't go away for a very long time.
   "My estimate is ranging from never to if we are really lucky and it
   sort of mutates and mutates, it may lose its virulence - we're talking
   years and years. I disagree with Prof Sikora that nirvana is around the
   corner."
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